Articles
Our Updated Methodology
While our forecast for state legislative elections was not as strong as we had hoped (primarily due to the massive polling errors), we at CNalysis are satisfied with our success. We predicted 95.08% of state legislative races correctly in 2020, and 3 out of 4 races...
What Does the VA HD-02 Special Mean for the November Elections?
Though the Georgia Runoffs may have garnered the most attention last night, there was an important special election here in the Commonwealth of Virginia in the 2nd district of the Virginia House of Delegates, which was called for after Delegate Jennifer Carroll Foy...
Lee Carter Enters 2021 Virginia Gubernatorial Election
Friday, Delegate Lee Carter (D-Manassas) entered the race to become the next Governor of Virginia. Carter was swept into office in 2017 by a blue wave powered by animosity toward President Trump. Carter, a Sophomore Delegate who was re-elected in 2019 by a narrower...
Our First Look: Virginia Attorney General 2021
In 2013, then-State Senator Mark Herring of Loudoun won the open race to become Virginia’s next Attorney General by just 907 votes out of 2.2 million. A few months prior, Herring beat a former Assistant United States Attorney in the Democratic primary, Justin Fairfax,...
Amanda Chase Throws a Wrench in VA GOP’s Comeback Hopes
Last Saturday, the Virginia GOP chose a convention as its system of nomination for the 2021 statewide elections rather than holding a statewide primary. Many in the party feared a repeat of the 2018 Senate primary, where far-right candidate Corey Stewart (R) managed...
Our Final Forecast: State Legislatures
CNalysis’s final forecast and predictions for the 2020 state legislature elections.
Our Final Forecast: State Row Officers
We at CNalysis are best known for our state legislative forecasts and coverage. What our readers may not also know, based on analysis of our traffic, is that we predict state row officers, too! Yes, Attorneys General, Secretaries of State, Treasurers, and more. There...
Our Final Forecast: The Presidency, The Senate, The House
In our final federal forecast, Tuesday looks pretty rosy for Democrats: we predict that Joe Biden is a heavy favorite to win the presidency, Democrats are moderately favored to win the Senate and are also favored to have a net gain of 14 seats in the US House,...
With 6 Days Left, the Texas House Becomes a Toss-Up
The environment throughout this month so far has remained pretty stable. Democrats still look like moderate to heavy favorites in their battles for the presidency, the Senate, the House, and state legislative chambers. After our massive update last week, we found that...
Two Weeks Left: Texas is a Toss-Up, 99% Chance of Democrats Holding the House
There’s not much time for Republicans to turn things around for themselves. With just 14 days before the election, it looks likely that there will be a massive win for the Democrats. Not just in the electoral college, but the US Senate, the US House, and state...