In 2013, then-State Senator Mark Herring of Loudoun won the open race to become Virginia’s next Attorney General by just 907 votes out of 2.2 million. A few months prior, Herring beat a former Assistant United States Attorney in the Democratic primary, Justin Fairfax,...
Chaz Nuttycombe
Amanda Chase Throws a Wrench in VA GOP’s Comeback Hopes
Last Saturday, the Virginia GOP chose a convention as its system of nomination for the 2021 statewide elections rather than holding a statewide primary. Many in the party feared a repeat of the 2018 Senate primary, where far-right candidate Corey Stewart (R) managed...
Our Final Forecast: State Legislatures
CNalysis’s final forecast and predictions for the 2020 state legislature elections.
Our Final Forecast: State Row Officers
We at CNalysis are best known for our state legislative forecasts and coverage. What our readers may not also know, based on analysis of our traffic, is that we predict state row officers, too! Yes, Attorneys General, Secretaries of State, Treasurers, and more. There...
Our Final Forecast: The Presidency, The Senate, The House
In our final federal forecast, Tuesday looks pretty rosy for Democrats: we predict that Joe Biden is a heavy favorite to win the presidency, Democrats are moderately favored to win the Senate and are also favored to have a net gain of 14 seats in the US House,...
With 6 Days Left, the Texas House Becomes a Toss-Up
The environment throughout this month so far has remained pretty stable. Democrats still look like moderate to heavy favorites in their battles for the presidency, the Senate, the House, and state legislative chambers. After our massive update last week, we found that...
Two Weeks Left: Texas is a Toss-Up, 99% Chance of Democrats Holding the House
There’s not much time for Republicans to turn things around for themselves. With just 14 days before the election, it looks likely that there will be a massive win for the Democrats. Not just in the electoral college, but the US Senate, the US House, and state...
The Trifectas That Can Break in 2020
As we cover the fight between Democrats and Republicans over state legislatures, we’ve written pieces on the trifecta (control of the Governor, State Senate, State House/Assembly) opportunities this year for both parties, including with recent updates for them last...
Three is a Magic Number, But Not for Republicans
With three weeks remaining, it doesn’t look like the environment has improved for Republicans, mostly thanks to the extremely poor reception of President Trump’s debate performance and a lack of sympathy votes for his COVID-19 diagnosis, which has resulted in the...
Four Weeks Out, It Looks Like a Republican Rout
Time is the enemy of us all. Right now, the GOP knows that better than nearly any other entity in American politics. With only four weeks left until Election Day, a nearly impossible window of time in an even more impossible scenario, the new mission for the...