The Presidency While since our last update on July 18th, President Trump has somewhat narrowed the presidential general election in nationwide polling (though Joe Biden still has a solid high-single-digit lead), he is still lacking in narrowing Biden’s margins enough...
Chaz Nuttycombe
Biden Expands the Map, Democrats Dominate Fundraising
With only 100 days left until the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden continues to expand the electoral college map. Shifting what would usually be firmly Republican states into the Likely Republican category, Joe Biden may very well be on his way to a landslide not...
Biden Rises In Polls, US Senate Drifts Leftward, New England State Legislative Changes
It’s been quite the busy month in elections: Since our last update on June 4th, many states have passed their filing deadlines and held their primaries. Joe Biden has expanded his lead over Donald Trump into the upper single digits as the country continues to reckon...
AK House and MN Senate move leftward, “Super Junesday,” and more
In our post-Super Junesday forecast update, we have 30 rating changes, 17 in the leftward direction and 13 in the rightward direction. Of these 29 changes, only 1 is in a district that isn’t in a state legislature: IA-04, which we are moving from Likely R to Safe R...
Forecast Update | US Senate a Toss-Up, New NC Data, NE & OR Primaries
In today’s forecast update, 21 days since our last, we have 23 rating changes for a whole variety of reasons. 15 are in the favor of Democrats, and 8 are in the favor of Republicans. Most of these changes are in state legislatures, with a good chunk in the state of...
Our Fourth Forecast Update
We have 25 rating changes in our forecasts today, with most of them being in congressional races. After reviewing the Q1 fundraising reports, we decided to change 18 congressional ratings, most of them in the leftward direction. This is because Democrats absolutely...
The Republican Trifecta Opportunities in 2020
While Democrats have created nine Democratic trifectas in state governments since President Trump’s inauguration, Republicans have yet to create any. This November, though, that may change. Republicans have a very good trifecta opportunity in Montana, a decent...
Our Third Forecast Update
The biggest development in the 2020 elections since our last forecast update on April 1st was Bernie Sanders dropping out of the presidential race, making Joe Biden the presumptive Democratic nominee for President of the United States. Biden’s nomination surely has...
The Presidency is Close, Republicans Favored in Senate, Democrats Likely to Hold House
This year, the Presidency, US Senate and US House, and a couple of gubernatorial contests are up for grabs. CNalysis unveiled its forecasts for these top-of-the-ballot elections here on March 22nd. According to our forecast right now, Democrats have a 54.2% chance of...
Our Second Forecast Update
Since our previous forecast update on March 15th, 8 more states have had their candidacy filings deadlines pass. These deadlines were in the states of Maine, Colorado, Utah, Virginia, New Jersey, South Carolina, Missouri and South Dakota. We have updated our forecasts...